The Young Turks host Cenk Uygur discusses debates, poll numbers, and why this election is already finished.
I think the election for Romney was over after the RNC but after recent poll numbers, everyone has been calling it. Also, I’ve always found these statistics to be very interesting:
There’s another poll out today showing President Obama with a nine point lead in Ohio. That’s the fifth poll in a row showing him with a larger than a five point lead. The Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times poll that came out last week had him with a ten point lead.
No Republican has ever won the presidency without winning Ohio. Plus, whoever has won Ohio has won the last 11 presidential races. Ten point leads aren’t small, they’re gigantic.
Here’s my new favorite fact: whoever is leading two weeks after the last convention has never relinquished the lead in the last 15 presidential elections. It’s way past two weeks since the last convention and President Obama doesn’t have a small lead, he has a huge lead.
It’s important to remember that these are just statistics and they aren’t indicative of what’s going to happen but what tends to happen. However, it’s difficult to look at current polling numbers and conclude anything other than the fact that Romney is hurting and he’s hurting bad. The mainstream media is useless in this arena, as Cenk says. Look at the raw numbers, not the overhyped analyses from the talking heads.
No. The election is not over until the morning of November 7. Stop saying it is.